Full Season Strategy — Perplexity
A full-season survivor pick sequence, optimized from live market odds rather than picked week to week. Subject to revision as results, injuries, and lines shift the underlying probabilities.
Perplexity pulled the full 2026 schedule and 5-book consensus moneylines (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, ESPN BET) via OpticOdds, fit Bradley-Terry team power ratings plus home-field advantage from the priced games, and solved the survivor problem as an integer assignment maximizing season-long survival probability under the no-repeat-team constraint.
Cumulative survival probability through Week 17: 1.52% — roughly 1 in 66 to run the table with this exact sequence.
| Week | Pick | Opponent | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacksonville Jaguars | Cleveland Browns | 77% |
| 2 | LA Chargers | Las Vegas Raiders | 78% |
| 3 | San Francisco 49ers | Arizona Cardinals | 82% |
| 4 | Chicago Bears | New York Jets | 77% |
| 5 | New England Patriots | Las Vegas Raiders | 77% |
| 6 | LA Rams | Arizona Cardinals | 86% |
| 7 | Houston Texans | New York Giants | 71% |
| 8 | Dallas Cowboys | Arizona Cardinals | 81% |
| 9 | Seattle Seahawks | Arizona Cardinals | 84% |
| 10 | Indianapolis Colts | Miami Dolphins | 73% |
| 11 | Kansas City Chiefs | Arizona Cardinals | 83% |
| 12 | Cincinnati Bengals | New Orleans Saints | 71% |
| 13 | Denver Broncos | Miami Dolphins | 80% |
| 14 | Detroit Lions | Tennessee Titans | 77% |
| 15 | Green Bay Packers | Miami Dolphins | 81% |
| 16 | Baltimore Ravens | Cleveland Browns | 80% |
| 17 | Buffalo Bills | Miami Dolphins | 75% |
